Now that the first ‘two crucial weeks’ of a state-imposed lockdown have passed, we have entered a second ‘two crucial weeks’ period – with promises of more ‘two week crucial periods’ ahead of us – as everyone waits to see if the anticipated statistical predictions regarding COVID-19 actually come to pass.
First, we were faced with a coronavirus health pandemic. Then, world governments created a second crisis by shutting down their economies and precipitating an unemployment pandemic and a financial pandemic. Now, it appears that we have a serious COVID-19 ‘statistics crisis,’ which may in the end be the one most responsible for precipitating all the fear and panic concerning the first two.
An increasing number of analysts are calling into question the validity of COVID-19 projections based on extrapolations of very dubious data samplings. There is also evidence surfacing that the statistics are being manipulated to present a false picture of the situation.
For example, there is a huge difference between measuring ‘cases’ of the SARS-CoV-2 virus and measuring the number of people suffering from the COVID-19 disease. Yet our governments have intentionally decided to treat each of these very distinct concepts as being identical.
It is becoming increasingly recognized that the statistics cited in our daily COVID19 updates may not be statistically valid. and do not represent valid comparisons or projections.